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Red132
378613.5
762751.1
131856.1
Blue105
413143.2
307035.3
529529.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128113406080100140160180200132105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.3
55.355.6
Auto15.4
Teleop32.0
End8.5
red by 12.9
4131
#11
43.20.1
43.243.2
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Second
51.10.3
50.350.6
Auto13.2
Teleop28.8
End9.1
red by 15.8
35.30.1
35.335.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.9
End10.1
Third
3786
#19
13.50.3
12.913.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.1
blue by 15.9
5295
#25
29.40.1
29.429.4
Auto6.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1