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Red129
529529.4
307035.3
413143.2
Blue67
255726.7
298023.0
339318.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117635010015020012967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#11
43.20.6
41.742.2
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 16.5
26.70.2
26.025.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End8.5
Second
35.30.6
33.834.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.9
End10.1
red by 12.3
23.00.2
22.322.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End7.9
Third
5295
#25
29.40.6
27.928.5
Auto6.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 10.8
3393
#29
18.60.2
17.917.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End5.7