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Red121
803223.5
491536.2
446938.2
Blue79
582725.5
491825.5
358822.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110745010015020012179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.4
38.538.9
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End4.4
red by 12.7
4918
#10
25.50.1
25.625.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.5
End7.9
Second
36.20.4
36.637.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.9
End9.3
red by 10.7
5827
#27
25.50.1
25.625.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.2
Third
8032
#21
23.50.4
23.924.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 0.9
3588
#17
22.70.1
22.822.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End6.4