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Red132
378613.5
762751.1
131856.1
Blue66
446938.2
491536.2
803223.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010340608012014016018020013266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.3
55.455.1
Auto15.4
Teleop32.0
End8.5
red by 17.9
38.20.8
38.938.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End4.4
Second
51.10.3
50.450.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.8
End9.1
red by 14.8
36.20.8
37.036.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.9
End9.3
Third
3786
#19
13.50.3
13.012.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.1
blue by 10.1
8032
#21
23.50.8
24.323.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End4.5