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Red75
290722.8
830212.1
252239.3
Blue23
568315.7
468117.9
378613.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776201001502002503003507523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.0
35.135.1
Auto12.5
Teleop18.0
End8.9
red by 21.4
4681
#22
17.92.4
22.920.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.8
End7.2
Second
22.80.0
17.917.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.2
red by 7.1
5683
#16
15.74.1
17.012.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End7.7
Third
8302
#31
12.10.0
16.916.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End-1.4
blue by 1.1
3786
#28
13.24.1
19.815.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsMissed