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Red48
56816.1
568315.7
321914.8
Blue26
889610.5
129416.1
94821.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45500204060804826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
568
#25
16.10.0
14.014.0
Auto1.3
Teleop7.9
End6.9
blue by 5.7
948
#21
21.82.2
19.016.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
Second
5683
#16
15.70.0
14.414.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End7.7
blue by 0.4
1294
#24
16.12.2
15.513.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Third
3219
#27
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End5.6
red by 4.3
8896
#26
10.52.2
11.59.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed