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Red94
593725.6
889610.5
457918.5
Blue71
129416.1
198337.4
290722.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56632040801009471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#18
25.60.7
24.925.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.8
End7.1
blue by 11.8
37.41.3
29.330.6
Auto11.6
Teleop19.1
End6.6
Second
4579
#13
18.50.7
18.819.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End3.6
blue by 4.3
22.81.3
17.118.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.2
Third
8896
#26
10.50.7
9.510.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End5.1
blue by 5.6
1294
#24
16.11.2
11.712.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned