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Red77
339313.5
830212.1
293051.0
Blue85
56816.1
252239.3
255722.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757755606570808590957785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.4
50.050.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 11.7
39.30.9
33.734.6
Auto12.5
Teleop18.0
End8.9
Second
3393
#30
13.50.6
8.28.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 9.4
2557
#11
22.91.3
23.124.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End7.5
Third
8302
#31
12.10.6
12.212.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End-1.4
blue by 4.0
568
#25
16.10.9
14.915.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned