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Red100
446924.9
129416.1
321848.1
Blue53
593725.6
491820.7
830212.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876220408010012014016010053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.11.4
45.747.2
Auto13.6
Teleop26.2
End8.4
red by 22.5
5937
#18
25.60.7
27.126.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.8
End7.1
Second
4469
#19
24.91.9
21.523.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 4.2
4918
#10
20.70.7
21.520.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End7.9
Third
1294
#24
16.11.7
11.313.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
red by 4.0
8302
#31
12.10.7
12.812.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed