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Red76
56816.1
491820.7
446924.9
Blue73
358818.2
558823.6
902319.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64654050607080907673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#19
24.90.4
24.524.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 1.3
5588
#20
23.60.2
23.523.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End7.7
Second
4918
#10
20.70.3
20.320.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End7.9
red by 0.9
9023
#17
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End6.3
Third
568
#25
16.10.3
15.716.0
Auto1.3
Teleop7.9
End6.9
blue by 2.1
18.20.2
18.018.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End4.9