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Red94
129416.1
321848.1
568315.7
Blue115
252239.3
177835.2
339313.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83856070809010011094115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.2
47.447.6
Auto13.6
Teleop26.2
End8.4
red by 8.8
39.30.7
36.537.2
Auto12.5
Teleop18.0
End8.9
Second
1294
#24
16.10.2
15.315.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
blue by 19.1
35.20.7
32.433.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.1
End7.6
Third
5683
#16
15.70.2
15.515.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End7.7
red by 2.2
3393
#30
13.50.8
10.411.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.8