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Red127
293057.7
94913.0
291065.1
Blue105
241245.6
252227.6
131842.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471226080100160180200127105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.2
65.365.1
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End5.9
red by 19.5
45.60.2
45.845.6
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
Second
57.70.2
57.957.7
Auto17.9
Teleop32.9
End6.5
red by 15.4
42.30.2
42.542.3
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
Third
949
#31
13.00.2
13.213.0
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End4.4
blue by 14.5
2522
#22
27.60.2
27.827.6
Auto10.5
Teleop9.9
End7.4