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Red127
293057.7
446935.0
204652.6
Blue77
321840.9
568318.5
241245.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612205010015020025030012777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.71.8
61.259.4
Auto17.9
Teleop32.9
End6.5
red by 12.1
45.62.7
52.549.8
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
Second
52.61.8
61.960.1
Auto16.3
Teleop29.0
End5.7
red by 11.7
3218
#12
40.92.7
46.243.5
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
Third
4469
#20
35.01.8
36.734.9
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End2.1
red by 16.5
5683
#11
18.52.7
18.916.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed