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Red113
49233.6
292828.7
321840.9
Blue87
378610.9
413135.1
252227.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238505010015020025011387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#12
40.90.7
43.542.7
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
red by 5.8
4131
#21
35.11.7
48.046.3
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Second
492
#16
33.60.7
33.933.2
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End6.3
red by 6.0
2522
#22
27.61.7
24.022.3
Auto10.5
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Third
28.70.7
29.728.9
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End6.0
red by 17.8
3786
#24
10.91.7
11.810.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned