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Red85
292828.7
408931.5
198329.9
Blue102
94833.5
321918.6
293057.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211405015020025030085102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.5
25.424.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
blue by 26.2
57.70.1
57.557.4
Auto17.9
Teleop32.9
End6.5
Second
1983
#15
29.90.5
33.232.7
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End7.3
blue by 3.6
948
#10
33.50.1
30.430.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Third
28.70.5
28.928.4
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End6.0
red by 10.1
3219
#29
18.60.1
15.515.4
Auto8.0
Teleop6.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed