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Red88
902324.6
446935.0
241245.6
Blue100
582720.1
451221.8
291065.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221075015088100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.5
49.848.3
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
blue by 19.5
65.10.5
68.167.6
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End5.9
Second
4469
#20
35.01.5
34.232.7
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End2.1
red by 13.2
4512
#26
21.80.5
17.316.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End6.1
Third
9023
#19
24.61.5
26.424.9
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
red by 4.6
5827
#23
20.10.5
21.521.1
Auto9.6
Teleop3.6
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned