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Red110
408931.5
293057.7
568318.5
Blue65
558826.5
298021.0
824817.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11254010015020011065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.8
57.458.2
Auto17.9
Teleop32.9
End6.5
red by 31.1
26.50.5
22.322.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.7
Second
31.50.8
24.925.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
red by 10.5
2980
#14
21.00.5
20.020.5
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End6.8
Third
5683
#11
18.50.8
15.516.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
red by 1.5
8248
#30
17.00.5
15.916.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned