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Red51
635010.8
593721.5
94913.0
Blue77
568318.5
903617.9
292828.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4066020801001201401605177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#17
21.50.5
22.723.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 7.2
28.70.9
28.429.4
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Second
949
#31
13.00.5
11.311.8
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End4.4
blue by 5.5
5683
#11
18.50.9
16.317.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Third
6350
#32
10.80.5
4.55.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
blue by 7.1
9036
#27
17.90.9
13.014.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned