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Red56
582720.1
413135.1
129416.5
Blue116
293057.7
902324.6
198329.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7713005010015020056116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#21
35.11.5
43.341.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.7
blue by 22.5
57.70.3
58.257.9
Auto17.9
Teleop32.9
End6.5
Second
5827
#23
20.11.5
21.419.9
Auto9.6
Teleop3.6
End7.0
blue by 9.8
1983
#15
29.90.3
33.132.8
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End7.3
Third
1294
#25
16.51.5
14.513.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End5.2
blue by 8.1
9023
#19
24.60.3
24.924.5
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned