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Red97
290315.4
635010.8
321840.9
Blue98
131842.3
568318.5
451221.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608201001502002503003509798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#12
40.92.2
42.945.1
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
blue by 1.4
42.31.3
40.141.4
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
Second
2903
#18
15.42.2
10.913.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.2
blue by 6.4
4512
#26
21.81.3
16.317.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End6.1
Third
6350
#32
10.82.2
5.07.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
blue by 7.7
5683
#11
18.51.3
17.318.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned