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Red90
241245.6
290315.4
321918.6
Blue115
593721.5
94833.5
204652.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7211505010015020025090115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.3
43.745.0
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
blue by 7.0
52.60.4
54.454.8
Auto16.3
Teleop29.0
End5.7
Second
3219
#29
18.61.3
14.716.0
Auto8.0
Teleop6.7
End4.2
blue by 14.9
948
#10
33.50.4
26.126.5
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Third
2903
#18
15.41.3
12.513.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.2
blue by 6.1
5937
#17
21.50.4
23.624.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned