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Red93
445020.8
408931.5
252227.6
Blue121
292828.7
131842.3
241245.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6413305010015020025030093121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.3
29.030.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
blue by 14.1
45.60.5
45.045.5
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
Second
2522
#22
27.61.3
22.724.0
Auto10.5
Teleop9.9
End7.4
blue by 14.7
42.30.5
39.640.2
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
Third
4450
#28
20.81.3
16.617.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End5.7
blue by 7.9
28.70.5
28.529.0
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned