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Red72
408931.5
902324.6
298021.0
Blue43
198329.9
635010.8
568318.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8566020401001201407243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.4
30.329.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
red by 1.6
1983
#15
29.91.4
33.131.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End7.3
Second
9023
#19
24.60.4
25.224.8
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
red by 6.1
5683
#11
18.51.4
20.018.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Third
2980
#14
21.00.4
21.921.5
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End6.8
red by 10.2
6350
#32
10.81.4
11.19.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed