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Red75
204652.6
558826.5
290315.4
Blue71
298021.0
49233.6
635010.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101660501507571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.61.2
54.052.7
Auto16.3
Teleop29.0
End5.7
red by 19.1
492
#16
33.60.6
33.532.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Second
26.51.2
24.623.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.7
red by 5.5
2980
#14
21.00.6
21.521.0
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End6.8
Third
2903
#18
15.41.2
14.813.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.2
red by 4.6
6350
#32
10.80.6
9.79.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed