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Red85
903617.9
635010.8
241245.6
Blue93
131842.3
252227.6
290315.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75860501001502008593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.0
45.046.0
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
red by 3.3
42.31.0
39.740.6
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
Second
9036
#27
17.91.0
16.017.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End5.7
blue by 9.7
2522
#22
27.61.0
25.026.0
Auto10.5
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Third
6350
#32
10.81.0
9.110.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
blue by 4.6
2903
#18
15.41.0
13.614.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned