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Red134
291065.1
198329.9
290315.4
Blue90
321840.9
36043.5
582720.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161139010011012013014013490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.8
66.467.2
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End5.9
red by 21.6
360
#3
43.51.4
42.340.9
Auto11.7
Teleop25.0
End7.1
Second
1983
#15
29.90.8
31.131.9
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End7.3
blue by 11.0
3218
#12
40.91.4
42.441.0
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
Third
2903
#18
15.40.8
14.615.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End4.2
blue by 4.7
5827
#23
20.11.4
21.520.1
Auto9.6
Teleop3.6
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned