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Red95
902324.6
292828.7
291065.1
Blue122
204652.6
321840.9
198329.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331299010011012014015016095122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.12.6
67.264.6
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End5.9
red by 12.5
52.61.2
52.851.5
Auto16.3
Teleop29.0
End5.7
Second
28.72.6
30.628.0
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End6.0
blue by 12.2
3218
#12
40.91.2
41.039.7
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
Third
9023
#19
24.62.6
26.123.5
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
blue by 5.3
1983
#15
29.91.2
31.930.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed75%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned