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Red121
36043.5
451221.8
204652.6
Blue122
241245.6
252227.6
131842.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125124100110120130140150121122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.1
52.552.6
Auto16.3
Teleop29.0
End5.7
red by 7.0
45.60.1
46.046.1
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
Second
360
#3
43.50.1
43.543.5
Auto11.7
Teleop25.0
End7.1
red by 1.3
42.30.1
42.742.8
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
Third
4512
#26
21.80.1
21.821.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.0
End6.1
blue by 5.8
2522
#22
27.60.1
28.028.1
Auto10.5
Teleop9.9
End7.4