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Red139
408931.5
902324.6
321840.9
Blue93
445020.8
292828.7
558826.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047605015013993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#12
40.90.6
39.740.4
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End8.5
red by 12.2
28.70.4
28.028.5
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Second
31.50.6
30.331.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
red by 5.0
26.50.4
25.926.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.7
Third
9023
#19
24.60.6
23.524.1
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
red by 3.9
4450
#28
20.80.4
20.120.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End5.7