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Red186
177849.2
189930.6
291078.7
Blue56
998818.7
451225.9
746137.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1657905010015020025018656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.72.5
65.167.5
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
red by 41.4
7461
#19
37.32.2
40.838.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Second
49.22.5
47.950.4
Auto13.1
Teleop26.8
End9.8
red by 23.3
4512
#16
25.92.2
24.021.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
Third
1899
#14
30.62.5
31.233.7
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
red by 11.9
9988
#31
18.73.7
19.816.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed