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Red90
999816.0
177849.2
593720.5
Blue115
999118.1
999055.9
189930.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051068010012014016090115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.7
50.449.7
Auto13.1
Teleop26.8
End9.8
blue by 6.7
55.91.1
41.342.4
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
Second
5937
#33
20.50.7
21.520.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 10.1
1899
#14
30.60.7
33.734.3
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
Third
9998
#30
16.01.1
17.916.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 2.1
9991
#29
18.11.1
15.016.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed