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Red112
805123.9
189930.6
255744.0
Blue111
999118.1
291078.7
999932.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110115050150200112111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.2
40.340.6
Auto11.6
Teleop25.8
End6.4
blue by 34.7
78.72.4
70.167.7
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
Second
1899
#14
30.60.2
34.034.2
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End7.1
blue by 2.0
9999
#22
32.54.0
28.224.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
Third
8051
#26
23.90.2
29.029.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End5.6
red by 5.8
9991
#29
18.14.0
18.514.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned