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Red149
451329.3
366356.2
999055.9
Blue117
592033.0
177849.2
762743.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123152050100200250300350149117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.4
53.855.2
Auto13.6
Teleop36.4
End6.2
red by 7.0
49.21.4
51.650.2
Auto13.1
Teleop26.8
End9.8
Second
55.92.4
45.848.2
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
red by 12.4
7627
#15
43.61.4
49.648.2
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.2
Third
4513
#25
29.31.4
27.929.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 3.7
5920
#20
33.01.4
36.234.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned