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Red102
999055.9
998818.7
999326.5
Blue92
999118.1
999232.0
252234.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8381406010012010292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.94.3
19.323.7
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
red by 21.8
2522
#17
34.20.2
27.627.4
Auto10.5
Teleop16.3
End7.6
Second
9993
#18
26.54.3
19.323.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End4.4
blue by 5.4
9992
#21
32.00.4
19.319.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End7.8
Third
9988
#31
18.74.3
19.323.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End5.1
red by 0.6
9991
#29
18.10.4
19.319.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed