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Red143
293061.9
468248.4
94835.8
Blue131
999232.0
366356.2
999428.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15896050200250143131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.1
59.459.4
Auto17.3
Teleop38.2
End6.1
red by 5.7
56.21.5
54.956.4
Auto13.6
Teleop36.4
End6.2
Second
4682
#12
48.40.1
46.846.9
Auto15.3
Teleop24.8
End8.5
red by 16.5
9992
#21
32.02.2
32.534.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End7.8
Third
948
#13
35.80.1
35.735.8
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End4.8
red by 7.2
9994
#28
28.62.4
20.422.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned