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Red148
241252.6
451329.3
36053.0
Blue188
999055.9
255744.0
291078.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135169100150200250148188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#5
53.00.9
52.353.1
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End8.3
blue by 25.7
78.72.1
71.673.6
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
Second
2412
#11
52.60.9
48.849.7
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
blue by 3.4
55.93.0
47.450.4
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
Third
4513
#25
29.30.9
29.029.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 14.7
44.02.1
42.944.9
Auto11.6
Teleop25.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned