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Red90
999932.5
998818.7
999816.0
Blue120
94835.8
999326.5
491145.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57115010015020090120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#22
32.52.4
26.428.7
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
blue by 12.5
4911
#10
45.01.3
40.541.9
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
Second
9988
#31
18.72.4
20.222.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 17.1
948
#13
35.81.3
35.837.2
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End4.8
Third
9998
#30
16.02.4
12.014.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 10.5
9993
#18
26.51.8
23.625.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned