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Red100
593720.5
468248.4
762743.6
Blue120
451225.9
999055.9
417321.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12691050150200100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#12
48.41.0
46.945.9
Auto15.3
Teleop24.8
End8.5
blue by 7.5
55.92.4
50.452.8
Auto15.1
Teleop34.6
End5.8
Second
7627
#15
43.61.0
47.947.0
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.2
red by 17.7
4512
#16
25.91.8
21.923.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
Third
5937
#33
20.51.0
19.618.7
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 1.4
4173
#23
21.91.8
20.422.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned