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Red110
252234.2
491145.0
451225.9
Blue108
36053.0
999428.6
593720.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910320406080120140160110108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#10
45.01.1
38.639.7
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
blue by 8.0
360
#5
53.00.6
52.052.6
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End8.3
Second
2522
#17
34.21.1
30.531.6
Auto10.5
Teleop16.3
End7.6
red by 5.5
9994
#28
28.60.6
27.728.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Third
4512
#16
25.91.1
25.126.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End7.1
red by 5.4
5937
#33
20.50.6
19.920.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed