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Red162
491145.0
999932.5
241252.6
Blue127
299028.4
468248.4
594133.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201178090100110130140150160162127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#11
52.60.8
48.249.0
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 4.1
4682
#12
48.40.4
48.048.4
Auto15.3
Teleop24.8
End8.5
Second
4911
#10
45.00.8
40.741.5
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
red by 11.7
33.30.4
32.933.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.7
End9.3
Third
9999
#22
32.50.8
28.229.0
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1
red by 4.1
2990
#24
28.40.4
28.028.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End7.3