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Red146
366356.2
999428.6
154046.0
Blue133
299028.4
468248.4
594133.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111350100150200146133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.4
55.355.7
Auto13.6
Teleop36.4
End6.2
red by 7.8
4682
#12
48.40.5
47.447.9
Auto15.3
Teleop24.8
End8.5
Second
46.00.4
45.145.5
Auto13.3
Teleop26.3
End6.2
red by 12.6
33.30.5
32.432.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.7
End9.3
Third
9994
#28
28.60.4
28.328.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End5.6
red by 0.2
2990
#24
28.40.5
27.427.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End7.3