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Red146
255744.0
36053.0
451329.3
Blue154
241252.6
999932.5
491145.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137112050100150200250146154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#5
53.00.5
52.653.1
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End8.3
red by 0.5
2412
#11
52.60.9
47.248.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
44.00.5
43.644.1
Auto11.6
Teleop25.8
End6.4
blue by 1.0
4911
#10
45.00.9
39.740.5
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End9.7
Third
4513
#25
29.30.5
28.929.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 3.3
9999
#22
32.50.9
27.228.0
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End8.1