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Red208
293061.9
252234.2
291078.7
Blue129
154046.0
999428.6
366356.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18412350100150200250300208129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.70.9
76.677.5
Auto17.9
Teleop51.1
End8.4
red by 22.5
56.20.1
55.755.6
Auto13.6
Teleop36.4
End6.2
Second
61.90.9
59.860.7
Auto17.3
Teleop38.2
End6.1
red by 15.9
46.00.1
45.545.4
Auto13.3
Teleop26.3
End6.2
Third
2522
#17
34.20.9
32.133.0
Auto10.5
Teleop16.3
End7.6
red by 5.5
9994
#28
28.60.1
28.728.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End5.6