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Red80
824830.7
94838.2
805123.6
Blue83
49242.8
451219.8
307025.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5975020401001201408083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#11
38.21.2
22.523.7
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End7.7
blue by 4.6
492
#10
42.81.0
31.632.5
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.9
Second
8248
#24
30.71.2
19.120.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End3.4
red by 5.0
3070
#22
25.81.6
19.120.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Third
8051
#18
23.62.0
15.317.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End5.1
red by 3.9
4512
#28
19.81.0
17.618.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed