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Red59
445025.3
803217.2
903624.4
Blue91
491140.8
451219.8
129427.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55782040601005991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#31
25.30.3
20.420.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End6.2
blue by 15.6
40.80.3
34.534.8
Auto8.7
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
9036
#20
24.40.3
17.617.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End5.3
blue by 3.6
1294
#15
27.90.3
16.116.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End8.7
Third
8032
#32
17.20.5
16.617.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.9
blue by 2.5
4512
#28
19.80.3
19.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned