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Red105
129427.9
297634.4
189934.2
Blue89
593733.5
824830.7
451219.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797020406010012014010589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.5
28.129.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.1
End7.3
red by 0.9
5937
#25
33.50.1
27.928.1
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End7.0
Second
34.21.5
28.930.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End7.6
red by 3.5
8248
#24
30.70.1
20.320.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Third
1294
#15
27.91.5
15.817.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End8.7
red by 8.2
4512
#28
19.80.1
18.618.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed