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Red94
593733.5
291072.0
805123.6
Blue124
36044.7
582728.9
902326.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132735010015020094124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.5
67.966.4
Auto20.2
Teleop43.7
End7.3
red by 27.3
360
#2
44.71.5
30.131.6
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Second
5937
#25
33.51.5
28.126.6
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End7.0
red by 4.6
5827
#17
28.92.5
25.427.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Third
8051
#18
23.62.5
20.217.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End5.1
blue by 3.0
9023
#13
26.61.5
20.722.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsMissed