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Red107
417324.6
292834.7
307025.8
Blue120
49242.8
189934.2
368125.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74824060100120107120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#23
34.72.1
26.929.0
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 8.1
492
#10
42.82.9
33.736.7
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.9
Second
3070
#22
25.83.3
22.125.4
Auto8.6
Teleop9.3
End7.8
blue by 8.4
34.22.9
27.330.2
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End7.6
Third
4173
#21
24.62.1
21.323.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End7.2
blue by 1.1
3681
#16
25.62.9
14.917.9
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned