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Red71
129427.9
387617.9
824830.7
Blue78
307025.8
418020.7
491140.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6498501507178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8248
#24
30.70.4
23.624.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 10.1
40.80.7
40.940.3
Auto8.7
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
1294
#15
27.90.4
21.722.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End8.7
red by 2.2
3070
#22
25.80.9
24.223.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Third
3876
#29
17.90.4
19.119.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End5.5
blue by 2.8
4180
#26
20.70.9
22.821.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed