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Red72
198337.7
290311.3
297634.4
Blue115
491140.8
36044.7
417324.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86114406010014016018020072115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.8
39.738.9
Auto13.0
Teleop18.2
End6.5
blue by 7.0
360
#2
44.70.8
39.440.2
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Second
34.40.8
33.332.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.1
End7.3
blue by 6.5
40.80.8
40.341.0
Auto8.7
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Third
2903
#30
11.30.8
11.310.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End2.6
blue by 13.2
4173
#21
24.60.8
23.724.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned